Atlanta, GA – In six days, it will all go down. In Iowa, at
over a thousand locations, the fights will break out. Politely called caucuses,
they are no more than mad scrambles and desperate struggles for votes among the
candidates.
Trump, who was in the state over the weekend, is comfortably
in first place, and has left to campaign in others. Some sources on the ground
tell that while Trump’s supporters are many, they have never been involved in
these glorified fist fights before, and it may hurt them that they cannot
simply call everyone a “loser” and walk out with a win. Trump has been calling
on his people, saying that if their wife dies, if their husband dies, they
still need to go out and caucus.
Ted Cruz is in this state to win it. He consistently has
downplayed expectations, saying that he will do well but does not need to win.
However, he is barnstorming the state, going “Full Grassley,” shaking hands,
kissing babies, and fighting desperately for the first in the nation state, to
prove that Trump is really nothing but hot air, and that Cruz has a pin to pop
that bubble.
Marco Rubio polls in third, while not having much support in
the rural areas in the state. However, he recently received a huge endorsement
from the Des Moines Register. Rubio
has been doing well in the debates, but questions remain as to how conservative
he is, and he has not yet surged to Trump-Cruz heights. If he does well in
Iowa, he might be able to continue on, but he is a man with a struggling
campaign.
Future former presidential candidate Ben Carson is there…and that’s about it.
Rand Paul continues to promise a surge in the state, and his
people certainly are devoted. While he is polling in fifth, it would not be the
most shocking thing in history if he were to pull into third.
But for contenders, there is where the story ends. No one has
ever won the Republican Nomination who did not come in the top three in Iowa,
and no other candidates really have a chance to win. Unless something happens
in the next week, the above lineup, (minus Dr. Carson, really) is the final
scorecard of contenders for the nomination. Expect some people to start
dropping out soon after the first of February.
Now for Secretary Clinton and Senator Sanders, it’s all up in
the air.
The establishment of both parties, reports indicate, are
dying a horrible death of unnatural causes. However, Hillary is trying to keep
the Democratic big-boys around for one more cycle. Sanders is determined to
prove that any little boy or insane old man can grow up to be president.
It’s here at last. Real votes will soon be cast. The election
is almost upon us. Hang in there, there is an end to this tunnel.
I think.
Andrew C. Abbott
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